2014 ARS to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1867.8663 IDR

YEARLY LOW

1388.7306 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1467.0716 IDR

2014 ARS to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1867.8663. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 24, dropping to 1388.7306.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 479.1357 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1743.6548 to the December average rate of 1456.2318, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1867.8663 was down 6.24% compared to the 2013 peak of 1992.1334, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,339,331 IDR

2013 Average 9,526,938 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 6,943,653 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,395,678.33 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1776.9873

1376.9968

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1504.8742, compared to 1429.2690 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 75.6051 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1504.8742

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1429.2690

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 346.6576 IDR (High: 1867.8663 / Low: 1521.2086). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 22.1835 IDR (High: 1440.5908 / Low: 1418.4073).

January Spread (Volatile) ±346.6576

November Spread (Stable) ±22.1835

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 227.5389 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -227.5389

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1743.6548) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1951.9687), the exchange rate shifted by -208.3139 (-10.67%).

2014 Avg (January) 1743.6548

2013 Avg (January) 1951.9687

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1867.8663	1521.2086	1743.6548
February	1550.3175	1474.2106	1516.1159
March	1473.1199	1417.7518	1442.4341
April	1452.0868	1411.2325	1428.4666
May	1445.7177	1413.2132	1434.8487
June	1488.7059	1446.2411	1463.7250
July	1464.2206	1412.0679	1431.5316
August	1433.5259	1388.7306	1410.3294
September	1443.1489	1392.6464	1414.4220
October	1444.6411	1414.8995	1433.3611
November	1440.5908	1418.4073	1429.7384
December	1496.3433	1435.5439	1456.2318