2018 ARS to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

735.5744 IDR

YEARLY LOW

349.3588 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

537.5041 IDR

2018 ARS to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 735.5744. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 349.3588.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 386.2155 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 706.0111 to the December average rate of 384.0728, the exchange rate registered a net change of -45.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 735.5744 was down 16.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 878.8343, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,677,872 IDR

2017 Average 4,051,437 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 1,746,794 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,931,077.74 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

739.2127

340.7936

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 646.2040, compared to 428.8041 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 217.3998 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 646.2040

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 428.8041

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 153.7767 IDR (High: 525.2480 / Low: 371.4713). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.7141 IDR (High: 683.9420 / Low: 675.2279).

August Spread (Volatile) ±153.7767

March Spread (Stable) ±8.7141

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 109.2163 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -109.2163

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 706.0111) against the same month in 2017 (average: 841.3437), the exchange rate shifted by -135.3326 (-16.09%).

2018 Avg (January) 706.0111

2017 Avg (January) 841.3437

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	735.5744	680.2558	706.0111
February	693.3164	676.0237	684.9975
March	683.9420	675.2279	680.6929
April	686.7237	674.0947	681.8657
May	672.3348	557.2705	597.7240
June	556.7670	492.0554	525.9327
July	524.5278	490.8562	517.0453
August	525.2480	371.4713	483.2114
September	390.2073	349.3588	373.9952
October	424.7862	369.4242	410.5299
November	424.1592	370.6555	403.9703
December	390.8438	377.7653	384.0728