2019 BMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3781.1241 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3624.1531 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3704.3397 UGX

2019 BMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 17, valuing the pair at 3781.1241. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 3624.1531.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 156.9709 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3704.2423 to the December average rate of 3674.5375, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 3781.1241 was down 3.28% compared to the 2018 peak of 3909.3385, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,905,620 UGX

2018 Average 18,632,734 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 18,120,766 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 784,854.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

3776.0446

3663.8380

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3720.0929, compared to 3688.5866 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 31.5062 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3720.0929

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3688.5866

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 96.9513 UGX (High: 3772.2405 / Low: 3675.2892). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 22.4166 UGX (High: 3715.7541 / Low: 3693.3375).

June Spread (Volatile) ±96.9513

March Spread (Stable) ±22.4166

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 35.8295 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -35.8295

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 3766.6941) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3727.2626), the exchange rate shifted by +39.4314 (+1.06%).

2019 Avg (May) 3766.6941

2018 Avg (May) 3727.2626

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3735.3641	3657.5426	3704.2423
February	3703.7903	3664.3028	3673.1886
March	3715.7541	3693.3375	3705.1003
April	3758.1987	3713.0875	3738.6019
May	3781.1241	3743.7080	3766.6941
June	3772.2405	3675.2892	3732.7300
July	3724.2577	3686.9180	3696.9005
August	3703.3334	3624.1531	3690.7838
September	3692.5463	3644.2994	3675.4218
October	3728.8161	3666.6500	3697.8082
November	3709.9789	3683.5519	3696.0679
December	3704.9835	3659.8261	3674.5375