YEARLY HIGH
3817.7499 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3584.4250 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3723.5420 UGX

2023 BMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 3817.7499. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 3584.4250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 233.3249 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3691.8028 to the December average rate of 3781.6803, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 3817.7499 was down 2.11% compared to the 2022 peak of 3900.0032, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,088,750 UGX
2022 Average 18,450,786 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,922,125 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,166,624.69 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

3793.7393
3649.0318
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3714.9247, compared to 3732.1594 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 17.2347 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3714.9247
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3732.1594

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 160.0550 UGX (High: 3744.4800 / Low: 3584.4250). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 47.6294 UGX (High: 3806.2714 / Low: 3758.6421).

August Spread (Volatile) ±160.0550
December Spread (Stable) ±47.6294

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 43.4566 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -43.4566

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 3777.7980) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3753.9644), the exchange rate shifted by +23.8336 (+0.63%).

2023 Avg (November) 3777.7980
2022 Avg (November) 3753.9644

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3731.8175 3657.6482 3691.8028
February 3724.2023 3649.2584 3686.9142
March 3789.1905 3694.6161 3736.8916
April 3782.3702 3714.7248 3742.9249
May 3778.8758 3710.4090 3726.4672
June 3754.2730 3652.3113 3704.5474
July 3696.9545 3600.7680 3661.0908
August 3744.4800 3584.4250 3680.8175
September 3769.2342 3715.0944 3738.8694
October 3784.0225 3728.3569 3752.7001
November 3817.7499 3751.2733 3777.7980
December 3806.2714 3758.6421 3781.6803