YEARLY HIGH
3781.3513 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3457.9491 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3680.3393 UGX

2026 BMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the BMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 3781.3513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 3457.9491.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 323.4022 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3568.7811 to the December average rate of 3700.3593, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 3781.3513 was up 1.12% compared to the 2025 peak of 3739.6028, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,906,756 UGX
2025 Average 18,007,862 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,289,745 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,617,011.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

3786.6209
3544.8084
JanuMarcMayJuly

BMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3677.0027, compared to 3700.3593 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 23.3567 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3677.0027
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3700.3593

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 182.2118 UGX (High: 3781.3513 / Low: 3599.1395). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 39.2590 UGX (High: 3776.5776 / Low: 3737.3187).

March Spread (Volatile) ±182.2118
May Spread (Stable) ±39.2590

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 50.9586 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -50.9586

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 3728.7191) against the same month in 2025 (average: 3665.7070), the exchange rate shifted by +63.0121 (+1.72%).

2026 Avg (March) 3728.7191
2025 Avg (March) 3665.7070

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3626.2966 3457.9491 3568.7811
February 3603.6870 3529.1144 3564.9595
March 3781.3513 3599.1395 3728.7191
April 3756.0608 3680.5148 3717.5751
May 3776.5776 3737.3187 3766.4699
June 3769.8892 3638.2936 3715.5113
July 3770.8077 3650.9860 3700.3593