YEARLY HIGH
3950.5914 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3639.9906 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3756.6549 UGX

2024 BMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the BMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 3950.5914. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 3639.9906.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 310.6008 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3803.9837 to the December average rate of 3663.7884, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 3950.5914 was up 3.48% compared to the 2023 peak of 3817.7499, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,752,957 UGX
2023 Average 18,618,257 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 18,199,953 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,553,003.98 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

3917.3469
3640.7377
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3821.5755, compared to 3691.7344 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 129.8411 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3821.5755
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3691.7344

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 142.4994 UGX (High: 3950.5914 / Low: 3808.0919). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 23.2374 UGX (High: 3682.2132 / Low: 3658.9759).

February Spread (Volatile) ±142.4994
October Spread (Stable) ±23.2374

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 74.5067 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -74.5067

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 3872.1442) against the same month in 2023 (average: 3686.9142), the exchange rate shifted by +185.2300 (+5.02%).

2024 Avg (February) 3872.1442
2023 Avg (February) 3686.9142

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3819.0656 3776.0451 3803.9837
February 3950.5914 3808.0919 3872.1442
March 3932.0450 3875.7213 3894.2961
April 3886.3294 3791.9997 3819.7894
May 3824.8374 3750.1842 3787.2941
June 3815.1248 3704.1750 3751.9455
July 3737.4486 3689.0604 3704.7652
August 3736.6082 3685.6211 3720.6284
September 3727.9891 3689.0700 3711.0297
October 3682.2132 3658.9759 3671.3149
November 3705.9850 3655.1800 3678.8795
December 3688.3596 3639.9906 3663.7884