YEARLY HIGH
3739.6028 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3412.6357 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3602.0523 UGX

2025 BMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the BMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 3739.6028. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 3412.6357.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 326.9671 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3687.9476 to the December average rate of 3573.7726, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 3739.6028 was down 5.34% compared to the 2024 peak of 3950.5914, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,698,014 UGX
2024 Average 18,781,007 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 17,063,179 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,634,835.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

3710.1902
3443.2779
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3660.8849, compared to 3543.2197 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 117.6652 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3660.8849
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3543.2197

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 184.6683 UGX (High: 3658.1006 / Low: 3473.4324). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 17.3476 UGX (High: 3595.3314 / Low: 3577.9838).

November Spread (Volatile) ±184.6683
July Spread (Stable) ±17.3476

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 52.4774 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -52.4774

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 3680.0820) against the same month in 2024 (average: 3872.1442), the exchange rate shifted by -192.0622 (-4.96%).

2025 Avg (February) 3680.0820
2024 Avg (February) 3872.1442

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3713.7266 3668.6247 3687.9476
February 3739.6028 3669.0885 3680.0820
March 3683.2159 3622.4909 3665.7070
April 3718.1374 3643.8361 3667.1372
May 3668.6191 3633.2495 3656.4808
June 3643.6278 3585.0309 3607.9546
July 3595.3314 3577.9838 3585.4856
August 3583.6405 3524.2592 3560.3543
September 3544.4491 3483.2831 3507.8769
October 3504.3973 3412.6357 3465.5206
November 3658.1006 3473.4324 3566.3079
December 3623.0792 3536.2617 3573.7726