YEARLY HIGH
1.8252 BIF
YEARLY LOW
1.4039 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6756 BIF

2016 CDF to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 1.8252. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 1.4039.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4213 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6849 to the December average rate of 1.4386, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8252 was up 3.10% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7704, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,126 BIF
2015 Average 8,456 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 7,020 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,106.43 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.7724
1.4083
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6855, compared to 1.6658 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0197 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6855
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6658

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3670 BIF (High: 1.8252 / Low: 1.4582). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0228 BIF (High: 1.6901 / Low: 1.6674).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3670
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0228

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2527 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2527

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 1.6913) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6797), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0116 (+0.69%).

2016 Avg (November) 1.6913
2015 Avg (November) 1.6797

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6960 1.6683 1.6849
February 1.6921 1.6682 1.6804
March 1.7022 1.6711 1.6842
April 1.6875 1.6627 1.6743
May 1.6901 1.6674 1.6805
June 1.7659 1.6456 1.7084
July 1.7610 1.6988 1.7420
August 1.7148 1.6874 1.7017
September 1.7189 1.6937 1.7047
October 1.7413 1.6973 1.7162
November 1.8252 1.4582 1.6913
December 1.4823 1.4039 1.4386