YEARLY HIGH
1.7577 SOS
YEARLY LOW
1.2146 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5258 SOS

2013 CDF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the CDF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 8, valuing the pair at 1.7577. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.2146.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5430 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7354 to the December average rate of 1.2628, the exchange rate registered a net change of -27.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.7577 was down 2.88% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.8098, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,788 SOS
2012 Average 8,813 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 6,073 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,715.08 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.7827
1.2155
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6734, compared to 1.3781 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2954 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6734
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3781

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 0.0881 SOS (High: 1.3027 / Low: 1.2146). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0263 SOS (High: 1.7480 / Low: 1.7217).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0881
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0263

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0678 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0678

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 1.7328) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.7752), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0425 (-2.39%).

2013 Avg (February) 1.7328
2012 Avg (February) 1.7752

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7480 1.7217 1.7354
February 1.7577 1.7052 1.7328
March 1.7551 1.6906 1.7171
April 1.7176 1.6443 1.6833
May 1.6466 1.5860 1.6173
June 1.5950 1.5217 1.5547
July 1.5195 1.4841 1.5073
August 1.4966 1.4097 1.4519
September 1.4092 1.3646 1.3841
October 1.3616 1.3264 1.3422
November 1.3331 1.2985 1.3203
December 1.3027 1.2146 1.2628