YEARLY HIGH
0.7827 SOS
YEARLY LOW
0.6485 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7281 SOS

2015 CDF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the CDF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.7827. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 0.6485.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1343 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7726 to the December average rate of 0.6647, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.7827 was down 36.37% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.2301, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,914 SOS
2014 Average 4,927 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 3,242 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 671.40 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.7834
0.6539
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7594, compared to 0.6967 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0627 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7594
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6967

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was September, with a trading range of 0.0322 SOS (High: 0.7166 / Low: 0.6844). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0082 SOS (High: 0.7630 / Low: 0.7547).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0322
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0082

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0216 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0216

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.7726) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.1956), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4230 (-35.38%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.7726
2014 Avg (January) 1.1956

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7827 0.7595 0.7726
February 0.7633 0.7531 0.7579
March 0.7630 0.7547 0.7584
April 0.7649 0.7480 0.7567
May 0.7626 0.7501 0.7565
June 0.7621 0.7470 0.7544
July 0.7500 0.7233 0.7376
August 0.7298 0.7166 0.7213
September 0.7166 0.6844 0.7011
October 0.6932 0.6694 0.6886
November 0.6774 0.6534 0.6671
December 0.6723 0.6485 0.6647