YEARLY HIGH
0.3705 SOS
YEARLY LOW
0.3487 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3575 SOS

2018 CDF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 28, valuing the pair at 0.3705. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 26, dropping to 0.3487.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0218 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3621 to the December average rate of 0.3568, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.3705 was down 25.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.4977, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,852 SOS
2017 Average 2,002 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,744 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 108.92 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3630
0.3528
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3590, compared to 0.3559 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0031 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3590
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3559

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0218 SOS (High: 0.3705 / Low: 0.3487). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0037 SOS (High: 0.3558 / Low: 0.3521).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0218
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0019 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.3569) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.3720), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0151 (-4.06%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.3569
2017 Avg (July) 0.3720

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3691 0.3583 0.3621
February 0.3641 0.3556 0.3606
March 0.3622 0.3564 0.3593
April 0.3605 0.3540 0.3577
May 0.3595 0.3540 0.3571
June 0.3598 0.3542 0.3573
July 0.3705 0.3487 0.3569
August 0.3582 0.3524 0.3555
September 0.3558 0.3521 0.3536
October 0.3606 0.3520 0.3559
November 0.3609 0.3520 0.3569
December 0.3610 0.3519 0.3568