2016 CDF to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6737 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.4661 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6167 SOS

2016 CDF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.6737. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.4661.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2076 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6678 to the December average rate of 0.4920, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6737 was down 13.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7827, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,368 SOS

2015 Average 3,640 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 2,331 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,037.80 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6854

0.4744

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6538, compared to 0.5796 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0742 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6538

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5796

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1496 SOS (High: 0.6337 / Low: 0.4841). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0054 SOS (High: 0.6633 / Low: 0.6579).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1496

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0892 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0892

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.6678) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7726), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1048 (-13.57%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.6678

2015 Avg (January) 0.7726

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6737	0.6608	0.6678
February	0.6650	0.6568	0.6601
March	0.6633	0.6579	0.6605
April	0.6639	0.6497	0.6573
May	0.6610	0.6373	0.6511
June	0.6477	0.6048	0.6260
July	0.6243	0.5913	0.6120
August	0.6006	0.5915	0.5962
September	0.6017	0.5938	0.5976
October	0.6084	0.5924	0.5986
November	0.6337	0.4841	0.5812
December	0.5135	0.4661	0.4920