2014 CDF to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2301 SOS

YEARLY LOW

0.7613 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9865 SOS

2014 CDF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the CDF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 1.2301. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 0.7613.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4689 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1956 to the December average rate of 0.7891, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.2301 was down 30.01% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.7577, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,151 SOS

2013 Average 7,622 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 3,806 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,344.32 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.2362

0.7485

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0979, compared to 0.8751 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2227 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0979

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8751

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was July, with a trading range of 0.0798 SOS (High: 1.0000 / Low: 0.9202). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0172 SOS (High: 0.8492 / Low: 0.8321).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0798

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0172

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0626 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0626

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1.1956) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.7354), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5398 (-31.11%).

2014 Avg (January) 1.1956

2013 Avg (January) 1.7354

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2301	1.1711	1.1956
February	1.1782	1.1296	1.1590
March	1.1321	1.0700	1.1031
April	1.0793	1.0556	1.0631
May	1.0641	1.0247	1.0521
June	1.0343	0.9963	1.0143
July	1.0000	0.9202	0.9770
August	0.9246	0.9059	0.9144
September	0.9119	0.8359	0.8889
October	0.8492	0.8321	0.8437
November	0.8517	0.8089	0.8376
December	0.8122	0.7613	0.7891