YEARLY HIGH
0.3598 SOS
YEARLY LOW
0.3431 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3509 SOS

2019 CDF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CDF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.3598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.3431.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0167 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3550 to the December average rate of 0.3455, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.3598 was down 2.89% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.3705, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,799 SOS
2018 Average 1,787 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 1,716 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 83.33 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.3559
0.3446
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3535, compared to 0.3482 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0054 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3535
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3482

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0083 SOS (High: 0.3598 / Low: 0.3514). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 SOS (High: 0.3498 / Low: 0.3475).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0083
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.3550) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.3621), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0071 (-1.97%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.3550
2018 Avg (January) 0.3621

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3598 0.3514 0.3550
February 0.3565 0.3515 0.3538
March 0.3584 0.3512 0.3544
April 0.3557 0.3515 0.3536
May 0.3573 0.3514 0.3532
June 0.3527 0.3496 0.3512
July 0.3513 0.3475 0.3496
August 0.3499 0.3440 0.3490
September 0.3490 0.3441 0.3481
October 0.3498 0.3475 0.3486
November 0.3496 0.3469 0.3482
December 0.3489 0.3431 0.3455