2011 DJF to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6398 MRO

YEARLY LOW

1.5056 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5736 MRO

2011 DJF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the DJF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 25, valuing the pair at 1.6398. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 15, dropping to 1.5056.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1342 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5770 to the December average rate of 1.6072, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.91% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.6398 was up 1.84% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.6102, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,199 MRO

2010 Average 7,707 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 7,528 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 670.87 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.6257

1.5188

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5604, compared to 1.5868 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0264 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5604

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5868

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was February, with a trading range of 0.0744 MRO (High: 1.6203 / Low: 1.5459). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0259 MRO (High: 1.5931 / Low: 1.5672).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0744

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0259

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0405 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 1.6168) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.5936), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0233 (+1.46%).

2011 Avg (October) 1.6168

2010 Avg (October) 1.5936

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5958	1.5515	1.5770
February	1.6203	1.5459	1.5864
March	1.6149	1.5528	1.5880
April	1.5926	1.5264	1.5475
May	1.5414	1.5056	1.5277
June	1.5524	1.5175	1.5358
July	1.5642	1.5326	1.5497
August	1.5871	1.5432	1.5639
September	1.5931	1.5672	1.5810
October	1.6398	1.5885	1.6168
November	1.6195	1.5777	1.6023
December	1.6198	1.5933	1.6072