2018 DJF to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0181 MRO

YEARLY LOW

1.1682 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9982 MRO

2018 DJF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 30, valuing the pair at 2.0181. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 1.1682.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8499 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.9859 to the December average rate of 2.0053, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.0181 was down 1.78% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.0547, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,090 MRO

2017 Average 10,065 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 5,841 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,249.39 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.0156

1.9454

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0012, compared to 1.9952 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0059 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0012

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9952

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.8402 MRO (High: 2.0084 / Low: 1.1682). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 MRO (High: 2.0056 / Low: 2.0051).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.8402

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0544 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0544

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 2.0098) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.0141), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0043 (-0.22%).

2018 Avg (April) 2.0098

2017 Avg (April) 2.0141

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9919	1.9748	1.9859
February	2.0113	1.9891	2.0014
March	2.0136	2.0045	2.0087
April	2.0181	1.9985	2.0098
May	2.0124	1.9972	2.0026
June	2.0028	1.9966	1.9987
July	2.0081	1.9966	2.0008
August	2.0084	1.9966	2.0030
September	2.0084	2.0022	2.0056
October	2.0084	1.1682	1.9512
November	2.0056	2.0051	2.0055
December	2.0056	2.0051	2.0053