2012 DJF to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7073 MRO

YEARLY LOW

1.5993 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6548 MRO

2012 DJF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the DJF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 9, valuing the pair at 1.7073. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 1.5993.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1081 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6169 to the December average rate of 1.6799, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.7073 was up 4.12% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.6398, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,537 MRO

2011 Average 7,868 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 7,996 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 540.43 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.7015

1.6092

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6275, compared to 1.6822 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0547 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6275

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6822

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0611 MRO (High: 1.6916 / Low: 1.6305). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0129 MRO (High: 1.6797 / Low: 1.6667).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0611

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0129

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0154 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 1.6938) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.5639), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1299 (+8.31%).

2012 Avg (August) 1.6938

2011 Avg (August) 1.5639

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6268	1.5993	1.6169
February	1.6507	1.6128	1.6307
March	1.6525	1.6197	1.6368
April	1.6433	1.5997	1.6214
May	1.6522	1.6011	1.6265
June	1.6507	1.6121	1.6326
July	1.6916	1.6305	1.6629
August	1.7073	1.6874	1.6938
September	1.7011	1.6745	1.6910
October	1.7047	1.6739	1.6902
November	1.6797	1.6667	1.6752
December	1.7029	1.6622	1.6799