2013 DJF to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7125 MRO

YEARLY LOW

1.4852 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6543 MRO

2013 DJF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the DJF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 26, valuing the pair at 1.7125. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 29, dropping to 1.4852.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2272 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6981 to the December average rate of 1.6373, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.7125 was up 0.30% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.7073, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,562 MRO

2012 Average 8,275 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 7,426 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,136.22 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.7134

1.5295

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6365, compared to 1.6720 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0355 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6365

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6720

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.2091 MRO (High: 1.6991 / Low: 1.4901). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0143 MRO (High: 1.6458 / Low: 1.6315).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2091

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0143

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0844 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0844

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 1.6758) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.6629), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0128 (+0.77%).

2013 Avg (July) 1.6758

2012 Avg (July) 1.6629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7120	1.6883	1.6981
February	1.7006	1.6708	1.6882
March	1.6740	1.5628	1.6292
April	1.5765	1.4852	1.5449
May	1.6991	1.4901	1.5774
June	1.7004	1.6490	1.6814
July	1.7125	1.6405	1.6758
August	1.7021	1.6633	1.6919
September	1.6937	1.6134	1.6568
October	1.7108	1.6493	1.6903
November	1.7084	1.6381	1.6802
December	1.6458	1.6315	1.6373