2015 DJF to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.9164 MRO

YEARLY LOW

1.6242 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7414 MRO

2015 DJF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the DJF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 1.9164. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 18, dropping to 1.6242.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2922 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6376 to the December average rate of 1.7151, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.73% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.9164 was up 14.31% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.6765, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,582 MRO

2014 Average 8,184 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 8,121 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,461.20 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.8550

1.6171

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7149, compared to 1.7679 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0529 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7149

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7679

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was October, with a trading range of 0.2231 MRO (High: 1.8481 / Low: 1.6250). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0193 MRO (High: 1.6471 / Low: 1.6278).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2231

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0193

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0976 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0976

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2015: 1.8127) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.6354), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1773 (+10.84%).

2015 Avg (November) 1.8127

2014 Avg (November) 1.6354

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6471	1.6278	1.6376
February	1.6567	1.6277	1.6370
March	1.7766	1.6242	1.6751
April	1.7763	1.7347	1.7668
May	1.8006	1.7101	1.7669
June	1.8464	1.7506	1.8061
July	1.8454	1.8111	1.8352
August	1.8435	1.7590	1.8062
September	1.8036	1.6438	1.7531
October	1.8481	1.6250	1.6850
November	1.9164	1.7735	1.8127
December	1.7583	1.6604	1.7151