2016 DJF to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0227 MRO

YEARLY LOW

1.7377 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9753 MRO

2016 DJF to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 2.0227. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 1.7377.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2851 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8834 to the December average rate of 2.0067, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.0227 was up 5.55% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9164, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,114 MRO

2015 Average 8,709 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 8,688 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,425.31 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.0212

1.8709

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9450, compared to 2.0056 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0606 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9450

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0056

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2015 MRO (High: 1.9391 / Low: 1.7377). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0124 MRO (High: 2.0132 / Low: 2.0008).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2015

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0124

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0020 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0020

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 2.0087) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.8127), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1960 (+10.81%).

2016 Avg (November) 2.0087

2015 Avg (November) 1.8127

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.9391	1.7377	1.8834
February	1.9426	1.8528	1.9242
March	1.9550	1.9235	1.9346
April	1.9572	1.9250	1.9453
May	2.0078	1.9312	1.9806
June	2.0129	1.9964	2.0019
July	2.0157	1.9952	2.0021
August	2.0183	1.9970	2.0037
September	2.0132	2.0008	2.0057
October	2.0175	1.9935	2.0068
November	2.0227	1.9990	2.0087
December	2.0205	1.9984	2.0067