YEARLY HIGH
3911.5986 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3632.9578 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3781.2299 UGX

2016 EUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 3911.5986. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 3632.9578.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 278.6408 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3743.7164 to the December average rate of 3793.5458, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3911.5986 was down 7.16% compared to the 2015 peak of 4213.2102, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,557,993 UGX
2015 Average 17,968,372 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 18,164,789 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,393,204.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3849.7493
3730.6185
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3774.6133, compared to 3787.8466 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 13.2333 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3774.6133
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3787.8466

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 244.6973 UGX (High: 3911.5986 / Low: 3666.9013). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 49.1011 UGX (High: 3808.4041 / Low: 3759.3031).

February Spread (Volatile) ±244.6973
September Spread (Stable) ±49.1011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 62.0230 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -62.0230

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 3807.4904) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3257.8363), the exchange rate shifted by +549.6541 (+16.87%).

2016 Avg (February) 3807.4904
2015 Avg (February) 3257.8363

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3802.2740 3647.7683 3743.7164
February 3911.5986 3666.9013 3807.4904
March 3836.0188 3632.9578 3745.4674
April 3840.2398 3714.8993 3789.9802
May 3823.1852 3741.7257 3776.6881
June 3833.5284 3743.8927 3784.3371
July 3789.0512 3701.7456 3740.5461
August 3821.8768 3734.5362 3777.8497
September 3808.4041 3759.3031 3790.2027
October 3819.9612 3746.1691 3785.1136
November 3895.9989 3803.9480 3839.8217
December 3900.4376 3704.4683 3793.5458