YEARLY HIGH
4396.7858 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4036.5337 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4284.0612 UGX

2026 EUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the EUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 30, valuing the pair at 4396.7858. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 4036.5337.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 360.2521 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4188.0343 to the December average rate of 4315.7708, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4396.7858 was up 3.20% compared to the 2025 peak of 4260.4629, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,983,929 UGX
2025 Average 20,347,885 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 20,182,669 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,801,260.34 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4412.0253
4167.6715
JanuMarcMayJuly

EUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4288.1200, compared to 4271.8847 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 16.2353 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4288.1200
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4271.8847

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 250.6313 UGX (High: 4287.1651 / Low: 4036.5337). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 7.2875 UGX (High: 4318.9950 / Low: 4311.7075).

January Spread (Volatile) ±250.6313
August Spread (Stable) ±7.2875

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 115.4097 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -115.4097

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 4391.6624) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4123.2717), the exchange rate shifted by +268.3907 (+6.51%).

2026 Avg (May) 4391.6624
2025 Avg (May) 4123.2717

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4287.1651 4036.5337 4188.0343
February 4268.9924 4171.5547 4215.9328
March 4377.5114 4230.5018 4311.3723
April 4391.1249 4303.0952 4345.4652
May 4396.7858 4383.3139 4391.6624
June 4389.6202 4171.0387 4276.2528
July 4294.4515 4174.3157 4227.9987
August 4318.9950 4311.7075 4315.7708