YEARLY HIGH
4311.2571 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4009.7198 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4148.6770 UGX

2019 EUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the EUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 4311.2571. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 4009.7198.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 301.5373 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4229.9116 to the December average rate of 4083.0634, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4311.2571 was down 5.70% compared to the 2018 peak of 4571.8323, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,556,286 UGX
2018 Average 21,999,846 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 20,048,599 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,507,686.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4247.8738
4032.3271
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4203.1332, compared to 4094.2207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 108.9125 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4203.1332
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4094.2207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 138.9809 UGX (High: 4177.5430 / Low: 4038.5621). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 49.3324 UGX (High: 4111.3232 / Low: 4061.9908).

August Spread (Volatile) ±138.9809
December Spread (Stable) ±49.3324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 71.9322 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -71.9322

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 4229.9116) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4440.6277), the exchange rate shifted by -210.7161 (-4.75%).

2019 Avg (January) 4229.9116
2018 Avg (January) 4440.6277

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4311.2571 4174.2905 4229.9116
February 4212.7590 4134.2518 4169.4251
March 4235.8473 4145.3056 4186.5602
April 4243.0375 4160.5319 4199.8347
May 4241.4029 4183.9793 4215.1681
June 4267.3580 4179.8651 4217.8996
July 4203.7548 4097.0132 4145.9674
August 4177.5430 4038.5621 4110.9547
September 4095.6512 4009.7198 4050.2893
October 4143.8184 4015.4534 4090.0592
November 4143.3946 4064.1666 4084.9903
December 4111.3232 4061.9908 4083.0634