YEARLY HIGH
4571.8323 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4175.5571 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4400.9874 UGX

2018 EUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 4571.8323. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 4175.5571.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 396.2752 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4440.6277 to the December average rate of 4225.5486, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4571.8323 was up 4.79% compared to the 2017 peak of 4362.8577, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,859,161 UGX
2017 Average 20,439,075 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 20,877,786 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,981,375.92 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4568.7854
4194.3453
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4478.1701, compared to 4323.8047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 154.3654 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4478.1701
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4323.8047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 241.7900 UGX (High: 4555.3766 / Low: 4313.5866). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 82.2558 UGX (High: 4571.8323 / Low: 4489.5765).

July Spread (Volatile) ±241.7900
April Spread (Stable) ±82.2558

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 131.3309 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -131.3309

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 4537.5821) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3890.6235), the exchange rate shifted by +646.9585 (+16.63%).

2018 Avg (April) 4537.5821
2017 Avg (April) 3890.6235

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4518.3220 4350.9384 4440.6277
February 4545.5669 4443.7546 4493.5817
March 4564.2000 4470.9862 4508.9145
April 4571.8323 4489.5765 4537.5821
May 4465.1626 4346.7620 4406.2512
June 4548.7480 4402.1241 4482.0636
July 4555.3766 4313.5866 4392.7711
August 4414.6607 4226.8069 4305.1339
September 4504.4024 4365.7033 4430.2823
October 4427.8253 4261.9237 4341.2074
November 4297.1689 4205.6419 4247.8849
December 4265.1938 4175.5571 4225.5486