YEARLY HIGH
4555.8429 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3996.0326 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4244.8115 UGX

2021 EUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the EUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 4555.8429. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 3996.0326.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 559.8103 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4491.0031 to the December average rate of 4019.2750, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 4555.8429 was up 1.51% compared to the 2020 peak of 4488.1780, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,779,214 UGX
2020 Average 21,217,645 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,980,163 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,799,051.60 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

4538.1760
3972.1022
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4366.2447, compared to 4123.3782 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 242.8666 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4366.2447
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4123.3782

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 139.7035 UGX (High: 4334.1452 / Low: 4194.4418). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 54.0286 UGX (High: 4050.0611 / Low: 3996.0326).

June Spread (Volatile) ±139.7035
December Spread (Stable) ±54.0286

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 95.0795 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -95.0795

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 4491.0031) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4084.4874), the exchange rate shifted by +406.5158 (+9.95%).

2021 Avg (January) 4491.0031
2020 Avg (January) 4084.4874

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4555.8429 4435.6588 4491.0031
February 4467.8048 4383.0165 4434.9346
March 4424.3243 4290.5784 4357.1842
April 4370.0301 4297.0669 4337.7508
May 4350.2141 4270.3376 4315.5915
June 4334.1452 4194.4418 4261.0043
July 4229.6278 4167.3114 4199.7756
August 4216.0639 4126.4190 4163.9787
September 4192.4898 4104.0529 4154.9515
October 4221.3349 4103.2555 4148.6838
November 4126.5182 4001.5250 4053.6043
December 4050.0611 3996.0326 4019.2750