YEARLY HIGH
4193.6963 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3898.8845 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4029.8190 UGX

2023 EUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the EUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 4193.6963. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 3898.8845.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 294.8118 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3982.5092 to the December average rate of 4130.8203, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 4193.6963 was up 3.43% compared to the 2022 peak of 4054.5669, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,968,481 UGX
2022 Average 19,416,839 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,494,422 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,474,058.93 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

4149.3195
3927.3292
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4019.5518, compared to 4040.0862 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 20.5344 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4019.5518
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4040.0862

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 224.1572 UGX (High: 4128.2153 / Low: 3904.0581). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 67.9394 UGX (High: 4016.7068 / Low: 3948.7674).

March Spread (Volatile) ±224.1572
September Spread (Stable) ±67.9394

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 58.6079 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -58.6079

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 4130.8203) against the same month in 2022 (average: 3906.9381), the exchange rate shifted by +223.8822 (+5.73%).

2023 Avg (December) 4130.8203
2022 Avg (December) 3906.9381

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4024.5832 3925.9560 3982.5092
February 4057.9055 3898.8845 3945.8284
March 4128.2153 3904.0581 4004.3811
April 4156.3468 4055.6446 4113.0540
May 4170.0742 3999.7542 4054.4461
June 4071.7264 3982.3302 4017.0917
July 4122.0899 3969.4419 4048.5866
August 4097.7109 3943.8215 4015.5238
September 4016.7068 3948.7674 3992.4981
October 4003.3017 3917.3129 3965.0200
November 4183.7138 4005.5881 4088.0684
December 4193.6963 4062.0939 4130.8203