YEARLY HIGH
1.1527 USD
YEARLY LOW
1.0391 USD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1070 USD

2016 EUR to USD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EUR to USD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 1.1527. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 1.0391.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1136 USD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0866 to the December average rate of 1.0534, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1527 was down 4.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2046, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,764 USD
2015 Average 5,550 USD
Yearly Trough Low 5,195 USD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 568.20 USD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1421
1.0454
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to USD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1166, compared to 1.0973 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0193 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1166
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0973

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0601 USD (High: 1.1145 / Low: 1.0545). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0119 USD (High: 1.1270 / Low: 1.1151).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0601
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0119

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0254 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0254

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.1294) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1158), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0136 (+1.22%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.1294
2015 Avg (May) 1.1158

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0940 1.0752 1.0866
February 1.1319 1.0880 1.1107
March 1.1380 1.0865 1.1143
April 1.1449 1.1225 1.1340
May 1.1527 1.1115 1.1294
June 1.1400 1.1017 1.1246
July 1.1176 1.0970 1.1069
August 1.1347 1.1086 1.1203
September 1.1270 1.1151 1.1210
October 1.1240 1.0875 1.1035
November 1.1145 1.0545 1.0788
December 1.0760 1.0391 1.0534