YEARLY HIGH
1.2511 USD
YEARLY LOW
1.1225 USD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1815 USD

2018 EUR to USD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EUR to USD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.2511. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 1.1225.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1285 USD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2201 to the December average rate of 1.1377, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.2511 was up 3.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.2037, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,255 USD
2017 Average 5,652 USD
Yearly Trough Low 5,613 USD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 642.66 USD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.2445
1.1269
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EUR to USD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2110, compared to 1.1520 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0590 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2110
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1520

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0503 USD (High: 1.2431 / Low: 1.1929). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0115 USD (High: 1.1757 / Low: 1.1642).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0503
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0115

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0453 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0453

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.2347) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.0642), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1705 (+16.02%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.2347
2017 Avg (February) 1.0642

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2431 1.1929 1.2201
February 1.2511 1.2192 1.2347
March 1.2457 1.2248 1.2335
April 1.2384 1.2082 1.2275
May 1.1991 1.1538 1.1822
June 1.1804 1.1562 1.1678
July 1.1757 1.1642 1.1694
August 1.1710 1.1341 1.1541
September 1.1776 1.1561 1.1651
October 1.1590 1.1315 1.1489
November 1.1456 1.1225 1.1367
December 1.1492 1.1305 1.1377