YEARLY HIGH
1.2023 USD
YEARLY LOW
1.1435 USD
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1675 USD

2026 EUR to USD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the EUR to USD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 1.2023. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 1.1435.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0587 USD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1735 to the December average rate of 1.1573, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.2023 was up 1.28% compared to the 2025 peak of 1.1871, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,011 USD
2025 Average 5,653 USD
Yearly Trough Low 5,718 USD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 293.71 USD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.1852
1.1537
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

EUR to USD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1675, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1675 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1675
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.0421 USD (High: 1.2023 / Low: 1.1602). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0102 USD (High: 1.1728 / Low: 1.1626).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0421
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0102

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0263 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0263

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 1.1735) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.0349), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1386 (+13.39%).

2026 Avg (January) 1.1735
2025 Avg (January) 1.0349

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.2023 1.1602 1.1735
February 1.1904 1.1769 1.1826
March 1.1759 1.1435 1.1563
April 1.1807 1.1510 1.1689
May 1.1728 1.1626 1.1660
June 1.1644 1.1521 1.1573