2016 GEL to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

762.6883 BIF

YEARLY LOW

596.2303 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

685.4950 BIF

2016 GEL to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 20, valuing the pair at 762.6883. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 596.2303.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 166.4580 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 641.0712 to the December average rate of 631.9631, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 762.6883 was down 14.75% compared to the 2015 peak of 894.6455, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,813,442 BIF

2015 Average 3,598,223 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 2,981,152 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 832,290.01 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

742.5110

617.9748

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 677.1915, compared to 693.7985 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 16.6070 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 677.1915

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 693.7985

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 58.1277 BIF (High: 654.3580 / Low: 596.2303). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 13.4551 BIF (High: 636.2157 / Low: 622.7606).

December Spread (Volatile) ±58.1277

February Spread (Stable) ±13.4551

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 44.7365 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -44.7365

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 732.1330) against the same month in 2015 (average: 693.3924), the exchange rate shifted by +38.7405 (+5.59%).

2016 Avg (June) 732.1330

2015 Avg (June) 693.3924

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	650.8218	626.6576	641.0712
February	636.2157	622.7606	628.3528
March	682.2473	632.5307	657.8292
April	702.8620	671.5011	688.7425
May	730.5343	695.6839	715.0202
June	762.6883	712.2127	732.1330
July	717.7122	704.2087	708.2504
August	732.5784	703.7446	717.3026
September	728.4059	712.1076	720.6395
October	715.6137	697.2403	707.9359
November	697.3698	657.1145	676.6995
December	654.3580	596.2303	631.9631