YEARLY HIGH
694.8767 BIF
YEARLY LOW
617.1914 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
655.0286 BIF

2019 GEL to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 694.8767. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 617.1914.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 77.6853 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 677.8128 to the December average rate of 649.3550, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 694.8767 was down 6.37% compared to the 2018 peak of 742.1363, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,474,383 BIF
2018 Average 3,578,488 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 3,085,957 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 388,426.31 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

689.6332
620.0929
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 675.6398, compared to 634.4174 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 41.2224 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 675.6398
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 634.4174

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 39.1853 BIF (High: 660.1073 / Low: 620.9220). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.1211 BIF (High: 634.8350 / Low: 626.7139).

July Spread (Volatile) ±39.1853
November Spread (Stable) ±8.1211

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 22.3780 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -22.3780

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 683.8381) against the same month in 2018 (average: 717.6048), the exchange rate shifted by -33.7666 (-4.71%).

2019 Avg (February) 683.8381
2018 Avg (February) 717.6048

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 685.4991 667.3182 677.8128
February 694.8767 674.4136 683.8381
March 688.3459 670.3159 678.7207
April 683.7989 675.2301 679.8723
May 678.3734 658.4900 667.8895
June 681.6850 644.8812 665.7052
July 660.1073 620.9220 643.3272
August 634.7396 619.6258 629.8902
September 630.1498 619.8647 625.8879
October 635.3141 617.1914 627.0821
November 634.8350 626.7139 630.9618
December 658.9108 631.2140 649.3550