2012 GEL to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

571.2901 CDF

YEARLY LOW

533.4749 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

551.1171 CDF

2012 GEL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GEL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 21, valuing the pair at 571.2901. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 533.4749.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.8151 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 546.0680 to the December average rate of 557.7251, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 571.2901 was up 2.32% compared to the 2011 peak of 558.3267, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,856,450 CDF

2011 Average 2,706,009 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 2,667,375 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 189,075.71 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

566.3566

531.8603

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 556.3885, compared to 545.8457 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 10.5428 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 556.3885

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 545.8457

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was October, with a trading range of 24.8902 CDF (High: 558.5095 / Low: 533.6193). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.5311 CDF (High: 536.0060 / Low: 533.4749).

October Spread (Volatile) ±24.8902

September Spread (Stable) ±2.5311

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 23.6258 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -23.6258

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 563.4819) against the same month in 2011 (average: 544.8200), the exchange rate shifted by +18.6619 (+3.43%).

2012 Avg (May) 563.4819

2011 Avg (May) 544.8200

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	555.3302	543.3556	546.0680
February	562.7225	546.1453	552.2636
March	560.1412	548.8100	555.2701
April	566.4358	556.7188	560.1686
May	571.2901	556.7010	563.4819
June	569.8257	556.4827	561.0787
July	549.5611	533.9405	537.4530
August	536.8194	533.4753	535.5545
September	536.0060	533.4749	534.7350
October	558.5095	533.6193	552.1194
November	562.3106	553.4776	557.4874
December	562.3106	554.1053	557.7251