YEARLY HIGH
528.7700 CDF
YEARLY LOW
377.7192 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
425.9515 CDF

2015 GEL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 528.7700. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 21, dropping to 377.7192.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 151.0508 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 524.5284 to the December average rate of 387.1209, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 528.7700 was down 0.40% compared to the 2014 peak of 530.8853, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,643,850 CDF
2014 Average 2,623,219 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 1,888,596 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 755,254.08 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

538.3233
372.7850
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 458.9404, compared to 392.9626 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 65.9778 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 458.9404
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 392.9626

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 112.1454 CDF (High: 526.4157 / Low: 414.2704). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.6889 CDF (High: 388.4739 / Low: 383.7850).

March Spread (Volatile) ±112.1454
November Spread (Stable) ±4.6889

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 75.8954 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -75.8954

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 524.5284) against the same month in 2014 (average: 524.3090), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2194 (+0.04%).

2015 Avg (January) 524.5284
2014 Avg (January) 524.3090

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 528.7700 521.6940 524.5284
February 527.2147 520.6739 524.5022
March 526.4157 414.2704 486.0112
April 414.1576 398.2980 410.1159
May 407.3691 391.3790 398.7032
June 413.4796 400.9335 409.7815
July 413.7640 405.1953 410.5062
August 407.6087 385.0790 398.5143
September 392.4060 377.7192 386.6961
October 391.5654 385.0585 388.3584
November 388.4739 383.7850 386.5799
December 390.3291 383.1187 387.1209