2016 GEL to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

458.3746 CDF

YEARLY LOW

369.0866 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

409.6850 CDF

2016 GEL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 23, valuing the pair at 458.3746. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 369.0866.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 89.2880 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 380.4763 to the December average rate of 439.2438, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.45% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 458.3746 was down 13.31% compared to the 2015 peak of 528.7700, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,291,873 CDF

2015 Average 2,127,223 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 1,845,433 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 446,439.98 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

445.7757

367.3928

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 401.7567, compared to 417.6133 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 15.8566 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 401.7567

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 417.6133

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 89.2880 CDF (High: 458.3746 / Low: 369.0866). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.5982 CDF (High: 376.4800 / Low: 370.8819).

November Spread (Volatile) ±89.2880

February Spread (Stable) ±5.5982

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 22.0990 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -22.0990

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 403.0212) against the same month in 2015 (average: 386.5799), the exchange rate shifted by +16.4413 (+4.25%).

2016 Avg (November) 403.0212

2015 Avg (November) 386.5799

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	385.3648	372.0968	380.4763
February	376.4800	370.8819	373.9247
March	405.5699	374.2497	390.6094
April	417.1684	403.8462	411.3659
May	434.0116	417.2374	425.4694
June	438.4953	405.2487	428.6946
July	415.3976	402.8389	406.5955
August	431.2048	412.5945	421.5355
September	427.7296	417.3556	422.7319
October	419.6499	402.1265	412.5519
November	458.3746	369.0866	403.0212
December	453.2148	415.5457	439.2438