YEARLY HIGH
624.5474 CDF
YEARLY LOW
555.2654 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
587.8924 CDF

2019 GEL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 624.5474. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 555.2654.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 69.2819 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 613.8954 to the December average rate of 580.5112, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 624.5474 was down 7.86% compared to the 2018 peak of 677.8380, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,122,737 CDF
2018 Average 3,260,110 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 2,776,327 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 346,409.61 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

623.2384
554.9855
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 607.4873, compared to 568.2976 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 39.1897 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 607.4873
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 568.2976

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 35.9443 CDF (High: 594.8122 / Low: 558.8679). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.9717 CDF (High: 610.7776 / Low: 604.8059).

July Spread (Volatile) ±35.9443
April Spread (Stable) ±5.9717

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 17.9162 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -17.9162

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 617.5506) against the same month in 2018 (average: 654.8787), the exchange rate shifted by -37.3281 (-5.70%).

2019 Avg (February) 617.5506
2018 Avg (February) 654.8787

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 620.0816 607.4766 613.8954
February 624.5474 608.9529 617.5506
March 615.4726 606.8837 610.2797
April 610.7776 604.8059 608.1421
May 606.6274 586.8926 597.8044
June 608.3345 579.9591 597.2516
July 594.8122 558.8679 579.3354
August 571.2807 555.8207 565.9197
September 566.1317 559.0594 562.1944
October 565.7046 555.2654 561.1516
November 563.3873 556.9006 560.6732
December 590.5633 560.6061 580.5112