YEARLY HIGH
677.8380 CDF
YEARLY LOW
603.0420 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
652.0997 CDF

2018 GEL to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 677.8380. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 603.0420.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 74.7961 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 626.1287 to the December average rate of 610.5754, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 677.8380 was down 2.16% compared to the 2017 peak of 692.7860, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,389,190 CDF
2017 Average 2,926,646 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 3,015,210 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 373,980.32 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

671.2991
605.0551
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 653.3712, compared to 650.8281 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.5431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 653.3712
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 650.8281

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 66.6867 CDF (High: 671.3697 / Low: 604.6830). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.2844 CDF (High: 660.3575 / Low: 655.0732).

November Spread (Volatile) ±66.6867
June Spread (Stable) ±5.2844

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 31.8129 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -31.8129

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 662.0390) against the same month in 2017 (average: 648.5438), the exchange rate shifted by +13.4951 (+2.08%).

2018 Avg (July) 662.0390
2017 Avg (July) 648.5438

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 650.6928 603.0420 626.1287
February 661.6171 648.0727 654.8787
March 663.9476 655.5120 660.9245
April 668.0372 654.5698 662.3644
May 663.5281 651.7640 658.0389
June 660.3575 655.0732 657.8919
July 677.8380 639.2556 662.0390
August 666.0064 651.8163 659.1482
September 672.0053 653.5903 665.7788
October 668.5675 657.9512 665.0391
November 671.3697 604.6830 642.3883
December 617.7947 604.6830 610.5754