2011 GEL to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

51.8248 NPR

YEARLY LOW

39.3455 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

43.9685 NPR

2011 GEL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GEL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 51.8248. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 39.3455.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.4793 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 39.6237 to the December average rate of 50.5442, the exchange rate registered a net change of 27.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 51.8248 was up 22.22% compared to the 2010 peak of 42.4025, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 259,124 NPR

2010 Average 199,667 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 196,728 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 62,396.46 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

51.6363

38.5317

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 41.6770, compared to 46.2600 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.5830 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 41.6770

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 46.2600

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 3.2421 NPR (High: 51.8248 / Low: 48.5827). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6093 NPR (High: 42.9793 / Low: 42.3700).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.2421

July Spread (Stable) ±0.6093

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.7326 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7326

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 50.5442) against the same month in 2010 (average: 40.1440), the exchange rate shifted by +10.4002 (+25.91%).

2011 Avg (December) 50.5442

2010 Avg (December) 40.1440

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	40.1651	39.3455	39.6237
February	40.8658	39.4874	40.1331
March	41.8040	40.9551	41.4340
April	43.4388	41.3748	42.5831
May	43.4167	42.3303	42.8997
June	43.8946	43.0419	43.3885
July	42.9793	42.3700	42.6558
August	44.7323	42.7237	43.9644
September	46.7479	44.0517	45.4957
October	47.0605	46.4121	46.7052
November	49.5827	46.5338	48.1945
December	51.8248	48.5827	50.5442