YEARLY HIGH
57.6641 NPR
YEARLY LOW
42.9239 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
47.0804 NPR

2015 GEL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 57.6641. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 19, dropping to 42.9239.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.7402 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.5038 to the December average rate of 44.3643, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 57.6641 was down 0.09% compared to the 2014 peak of 57.7179, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 288,320 NPR
2014 Average 277,688 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 214,620 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 73,700.97 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

57.7860
42.3992
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.7820, compared to 44.3787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.4033 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.7820
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.3787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was March, with a trading range of 12.5169 NPR (High: 57.1604 / Low: 44.6435). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6629 NPR (High: 56.5060 / Low: 55.8431).

March Spread (Volatile) ±12.5169
February Spread (Stable) ±0.6629

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 8.2343 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.2343

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 56.5038) against the same month in 2014 (average: 56.3652), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1385 (+0.25%).

2015 Avg (January) 56.5038
2014 Avg (January) 56.3652

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 57.6641 55.5052 56.5038
February 56.5060 55.8431 56.2289
March 57.1604 44.6435 52.5088
April 44.6373 43.3614 44.2744
May 44.9999 43.0561 43.9397
June 45.8716 44.2512 45.2366
July 45.4520 44.7472 45.1271
August 45.1878 43.9847 44.7809
September 44.9721 42.9239 44.1868
October 44.1217 43.3830 43.6814
November 44.5065 43.7452 44.1317
December 44.8304 43.9167 44.3643