2016 GEL to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

50.4461 NPR

YEARLY LOW

38.7294 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

45.5828 NPR

2016 GEL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 50.4461. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 38.7294.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.7168 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.1860 to the December average rate of 40.9489, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 50.4461 was down 12.52% compared to the 2015 peak of 57.6641, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 252,231 NPR

2015 Average 235,170 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 193,647 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 58,583.77 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

49.9503

40.1306

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 46.4383, compared to 44.7272 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.7111 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 46.4383

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.7272

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 4.5124 NPR (High: 50.4461 / Low: 45.9337). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0921 NPR (High: 44.6493 / Low: 43.5572).

June Spread (Volatile) ±4.5124

January Spread (Stable) ±1.0921

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.2054 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.2054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 49.1320) against the same month in 2015 (average: 45.2366), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8954 (+8.61%).

2016 Avg (June) 49.1320

2015 Avg (June) 45.2366

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	44.6493	43.5572	44.1860
February	44.6933	43.4644	43.9695
March	46.5043	43.5037	45.1170
April	47.7989	46.0881	47.1424
May	50.4325	47.6083	49.0831
June	50.4461	45.9337	49.1320
July	46.5825	45.4387	45.9266
August	47.1806	45.3668	46.1950
September	46.7891	45.5136	46.2419
October	45.8198	44.7255	45.3156
November	44.6064	43.0445	43.7352
December	42.7126	38.7294	40.9489