YEARLY HIGH
39.4625 NPR
YEARLY LOW
34.0569 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.7877 NPR

2021 GEL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the GEL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 15, valuing the pair at 39.4625. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 34.0569.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4056 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.4169 to the December average rate of 38.9175, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 39.4625 was down 7.23% compared to the 2020 peak of 42.5398, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 197,313 NPR
2020 Average 190,732 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 170,284 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,028.19 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

39.3474
34.1896
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.3397, compared to 38.2356 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.8959 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.3397
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.2356

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was June, with a trading range of 2.0940 NPR (High: 37.8843 / Low: 35.7903). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5657 NPR (High: 38.1745 / Low: 37.6088).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.0940
September Spread (Stable) ±0.5657

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3988 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3988

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 38.9175) against the same month in 2020 (average: 35.7614), the exchange rate shifted by +3.1561 (+8.83%).

2021 Avg (December) 38.9175
2020 Avg (December) 35.7614

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 35.8160 35.1417 35.4169
February 35.3155 34.7032 35.0882
March 35.3215 34.3956 34.8599
April 35.2199 34.2108 34.6194
May 35.6976 34.0569 34.7332
June 37.8843 35.7903 37.3207
July 38.8247 37.5551 38.1696
August 38.6989 37.4769 38.2550
September 38.1745 37.6088 37.8562
October 38.6014 37.9396 38.2341
November 38.7184 37.4757 37.9813
December 39.4625 38.3157 38.9175