2014 GEL to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

57.7179 NPR

YEARLY LOW

52.9755 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

55.5435 NPR

2014 GEL to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GEL to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 57.7179. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 25, dropping to 52.9755.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.7424 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.3652 to the December average rate of 56.3513, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 57.7179 was down 10.58% compared to the 2013 peak of 64.5445, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 288,590 NPR

2013 Average 281,238 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 264,877 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,712.24 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

57.0951

53.7470

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 55.3531, compared to 55.7339 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3808 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 55.3531

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 55.7339

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 3.6335 NPR (High: 57.7179 / Low: 54.0845). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7350 NPR (High: 57.2034 / Low: 56.4684).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.6335

February Spread (Stable) ±0.7350

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.9616 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9616

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 56.3513) against the same month in 2013 (average: 57.1498), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7985 (-1.40%).

2014 Avg (December) 56.3513

2013 Avg (December) 57.1498

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.1107	55.6657	56.3652
February	57.2034	56.4684	56.8161
March	56.7456	54.5168	55.8545
April	55.4006	54.4837	54.9562
May	54.7859	52.9755	54.0260
June	54.5884	53.5233	54.1006
July	55.3064	54.2342	54.6561
August	56.3432	55.4990	55.9496
September	56.2424	55.1174	55.6729
October	56.3523	55.4369	55.9819
November	56.3814	54.8485	55.7913
December	57.7179	54.0845	56.3513