YEARLY HIGH
8.1620 NGN
YEARLY LOW
4.6436 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1127 NGN

2016 GMD to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 22, valuing the pair at 8.1620. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 29, dropping to 4.6436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.5184 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0398 to the December average rate of 7.3545, the exchange rate registered a net change of 45.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.1620 was up 58.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.1389, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,810 NGN
2015 Average 24,069 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 23,218 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17,591.83 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.8489
4.3661
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9260, compared to 7.2993 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.3732 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9260
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2993

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.9661 NGN (High: 6.6106 / Low: 4.6444). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0308 NGN (High: 4.6748 / Low: 4.6440).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.9661
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0308

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2385 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2385

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 7.5586) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.0067), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5519 (+50.97%).

2016 Avg (August) 7.5586
2015 Avg (August) 5.0067

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0735 5.0230 5.0398
February 5.0798 5.0241 5.0411
March 5.0843 4.6436 4.9044
April 4.6941 4.6456 4.6659
May 4.6748 4.6440 4.6564
June 6.6106 4.6444 5.2487
July 7.5126 6.5999 6.8543
August 8.1620 7.3236 7.5586
September 7.4035 7.2786 7.3458
October 7.3863 7.2468 7.3348
November 7.4141 7.2770 7.3477
December 7.4435 7.1616 7.3545