YEARLY HIGH
7.6569 NGN
YEARLY LOW
7.2848 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5153 NGN

2018 GMD to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 2, valuing the pair at 7.6569. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 22, dropping to 7.2848.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3721 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5037 to the December average rate of 7.3588, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 7.6569 was down 4.97% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.0574, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,285 NGN
2017 Average 36,399 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 36,424 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,860.67 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

7.6662
7.3054
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.6035, compared to 7.4270 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1765 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.6035
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.4270

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2144 NGN (High: 7.6112 / Low: 7.3968). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0326 NGN (High: 7.6548 / Low: 7.6222).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2144
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0326

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1173 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1173

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 7.6338) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.9233), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7105 (+10.26%).

2018 Avg (June) 7.6338
2017 Avg (June) 6.9233

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.6112 7.3968 7.5037
February 7.6530 7.5131 7.6152
March 7.6468 7.5553 7.6125
April 7.6371 7.5901 7.6199
May 7.6548 7.6222 7.6361
June 7.6569 7.6150 7.6338
July 7.6418 7.4720 7.5603
August 7.5397 7.4708 7.5050
September 7.5559 7.3537 7.4600
October 7.3893 7.3160 7.3426
November 7.3543 7.2848 7.3355
December 7.3931 7.3259 7.3588