YEARLY HIGH
4.3426 RSD
YEARLY LOW
3.5109 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8672 RSD

2011 HNL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the HNL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 4.3426. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 5, dropping to 3.5109.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8318 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1479 to the December average rate of 4.1235, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 4.3426 was down 5.04% compared to the 2010 peak of 4.5730, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,713 RSD
2010 Average 20,529 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 17,554 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,158.97 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

4.2018
3.5553
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8338, compared to 3.9006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0668 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8338
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.3443 RSD (High: 4.0573 / Low: 3.7130). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0997 RSD (High: 4.0390 / Low: 3.9393).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3443
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0997

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1893 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1893

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 4.1479) against the same month in 2010 (average: 3.5894), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5585 (+15.56%).

2011 Avg (January) 4.1479
2010 Avg (January) 3.5894

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3426 4.0030 4.1479
February 4.0390 3.9393 3.9954
March 3.9882 3.8122 3.8921
April 3.8437 3.5401 3.7028
May 3.7282 3.5109 3.6092
June 3.7714 3.5338 3.6552
July 3.8759 3.6518 3.7734
August 3.8548 3.7031 3.7839
September 4.0164 3.7144 3.8722
October 4.0573 3.7130 3.8624
November 4.1071 3.8402 3.9879
December 4.3038 4.0421 4.1235