YEARLY HIGH
5.1145 RSD
YEARLY LOW
4.1711 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5894 RSD

2017 HNL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the HNL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 5.1145. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 4.1711.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9434 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9868 to the December average rate of 4.2493, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 5.1145 was up 0.78% compared to the 2016 peak of 5.0747, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,573 RSD
2016 Average 24,430 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 20,855 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,717.18 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

5.0606
4.1755
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8600, compared to 4.3187 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5413 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8600
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3187

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.2372 RSD (High: 5.1145 / Low: 4.8773). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0867 RSD (High: 4.3621 / Low: 4.2754).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2372
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0867

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1827 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1827

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 4.9868) against the same month in 2016 (average: 5.0299), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0431 (-0.86%).

2017 Avg (January) 4.9868
2016 Avg (January) 5.0299

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1145 4.8773 4.9868
February 4.9916 4.8761 4.9456
March 5.0013 4.8607 4.9311
April 4.9872 4.7967 4.9227
May 4.8283 4.6415 4.7400
June 4.6745 4.5134 4.6338
July 4.5344 4.3732 4.4589
August 4.3797 4.2579 4.3310
September 4.3473 4.2286 4.2706
October 4.3621 4.2754 4.3182
November 4.3513 4.2269 4.2843
December 4.3117 4.1711 4.2493