YEARLY HIGH
4.5421 RSD
YEARLY LOW
4.0335 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2409 RSD

2013 HNL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the HNL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 22, valuing the pair at 4.5421. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 21, dropping to 4.0335.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5086 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2316 to the December average rate of 4.1015, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 4.5421 was down 11.45% compared to the 2012 peak of 5.1294, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,710 RSD
2012 Average 22,755 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 20,168 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,542.85 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

4.4493
4.0609
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3100, compared to 4.1718 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1382 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3100
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1718

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.3027 RSD (High: 4.5421 / Low: 4.2394). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0520 RSD (High: 4.1257 / Low: 4.0737).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3027
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0520

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1511 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1511

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 4.4169) against the same month in 2012 (average: 4.6473), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2303 (-4.96%).

2013 Avg (May) 4.4169
2012 Avg (May) 4.6473

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3330 4.1231 4.2316
February 4.2794 4.0765 4.1812
March 4.4587 4.2994 4.3603
April 4.4468 4.3720 4.4043
May 4.5421 4.2394 4.4169
June 4.3230 4.1970 4.2659
July 4.3778 4.2022 4.2915
August 4.2439 4.1810 4.1996
September 4.2841 4.1447 4.2122
October 4.1403 4.0335 4.0933
November 4.1961 4.0864 4.1327
December 4.1257 4.0737 4.1015