YEARLY HIGH
4.4289 RSD
YEARLY LOW
3.9491 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1701 RSD

2020 HNL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the HNL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 4.4289. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 3.9491.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4798 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2721 to the December average rate of 3.9848, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 4.4289 was down 38.01% compared to the 2019 peak of 7.1444, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,145 RSD
2019 Average 21,452 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 19,746 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,399.07 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

4.3789
3.9489
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2894, compared to 4.0508 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2386 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2894
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0508

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.2750 RSD (High: 4.4289 / Low: 4.1539). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0610 RSD (High: 4.0101 / Low: 3.9491).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2750
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0610

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1259 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1259

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 4.2750) against the same month in 2019 (average: 4.2592), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0159 (+0.37%).

2020 Avg (March) 4.2750
2019 Avg (March) 4.2592

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3079 4.1735 4.2721
February 4.4226 4.2810 4.3398
March 4.4289 4.1539 4.2750
April 4.3849 4.2910 4.3431
May 4.3609 4.2408 4.3161
June 4.2397 4.1503 4.1901
July 4.2100 3.9780 4.1263
August 4.0558 3.9849 4.0218
September 4.1004 4.0013 4.0378
October 4.1091 4.0399 4.0664
November 4.1135 4.0333 4.0674
December 4.0101 3.9491 3.9848