YEARLY HIGH
5.3727 RSD
YEARLY LOW
4.7531 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0148 RSD

2015 HNL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the HNL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 11, valuing the pair at 5.3727. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 4.7531.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6196 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0015 to the December average rate of 5.1082, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.3727 was up 12.80% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.7631, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,864 RSD
2014 Average 21,661 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 23,765 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,098.16 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.2275
4.8419
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0424, compared to 4.9873 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0551 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0424
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9873

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.4563 RSD (High: 5.2094 / Low: 4.7531). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1340 RSD (High: 4.9503 / Low: 4.8162).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4563
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1340

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2324 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2324

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2015: 5.1953) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.3293), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8660 (+20.00%).

2015 Avg (March) 5.1953
2014 Avg (March) 4.3293

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2094 4.7531 5.0015
February 5.1485 4.9942 5.0555
March 5.3727 5.0721 5.1953
April 5.2639 4.8954 5.1568
May 5.0587 4.7938 4.9244
June 5.0378 4.8755 4.9207
July 5.0803 4.9453 5.0017
August 5.0288 4.7538 4.9290
September 4.9503 4.8162 4.8906
October 5.0101 4.7712 4.8740
November 5.2295 4.9634 5.1202
December 5.2316 5.0042 5.1082