YEARLY HIGH
4.7631 RSD
YEARLY LOW
4.0385 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3319 RSD

2014 HNL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HNL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 4.7631. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 30, dropping to 4.0385.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7246 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2244 to the December average rate of 4.6807, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.7631 was up 4.87% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.5421, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,816 RSD
2013 Average 21,206 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 20,192 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,623.22 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.7409
4.0178
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2806, compared to 4.3832 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2806
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3832

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was May, with a trading range of 0.3495 RSD (High: 4.4506 / Low: 4.1011). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0400 RSD (High: 4.3856 / Low: 4.3456).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.3495
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0400

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.3080 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3080

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 4.6807) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.1015), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5792 (+14.12%).

2014 Avg (December) 4.6807
2013 Avg (December) 4.1015

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3069 4.1088 4.2244
February 4.3227 4.2766 4.2975
March 4.3677 4.2955 4.3293
April 4.3856 4.3456 4.3684
May 4.4506 4.1011 4.3860
June 4.1100 4.0385 4.0780
July 4.1714 4.0407 4.0971
August 4.2531 4.1614 4.1968
September 4.4346 4.2543 4.3619
October 4.4936 4.3914 4.4331
November 4.5736 4.4572 4.5294
December 4.7631 4.5654 4.6807