2011 ILS to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

791.8166 UGX

YEARLY LOW

618.6629 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

705.5430 UGX

2011 ILS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ILS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 31, valuing the pair at 791.8166. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 618.6629.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 173.1537 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 649.2000 to the December average rate of 649.1687, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 791.8166 was up 20.60% compared to the 2010 peak of 656.5528, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ILS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,959,083 UGX

2010 Average 2,920,489 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 3,093,315 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 865,768.46 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

789.7528

627.8440

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ILS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 677.1830, compared to 733.9031 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 56.7201 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 677.1830

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 733.9031

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 81.6663 UGX (High: 780.2153 / Low: 698.5490). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 22.6536 UGX (High: 767.4162 / Low: 744.7626).

June Spread (Volatile) ±81.6663

July Spread (Stable) ±22.6536

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 71.7497 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -71.7497

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 776.2604) against the same month in 2010 (average: 587.7371), the exchange rate shifted by +188.5233 (+32.08%).

2011 Avg (August) 776.2604

2010 Avg (August) 587.7371

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	677.1420	618.6629	649.2000
February	658.6236	621.5592	641.3364
March	691.5715	651.9257	672.8424
April	702.6693	677.1106	691.5928
May	705.0718	677.1046	689.8255
June	780.2153	698.5490	718.3007
July	767.4162	744.7626	757.8232
August	791.8166	755.5591	776.2604
September	788.5519	747.7959	763.8041
October	789.5240	715.7806	764.0558
November	718.0323	669.7002	692.3062
December	681.3178	622.1693	649.1687